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Hands0n
24th November 2005, 10:07 PM
Industry analyst Gartner has made a gloomy prediction for 3G in the closing quarter of 2005. Are they right or are they talking a load of pooey plops? What do you think? Vote above and comment below.



Analyst firm sees little demand for third-generation handsets, but 3 has hit back by claiming Gartner hasn't got to grips with the sales figures

Analyst group Gartner has predicted that sales of 3G phones will be poor this Christmas because the devices have failed to grab consumers' attention, a charge that mobile phone operator 3 has strongly refuted.

In a report published on Tuesday, Gartner warned that 3G mobile phones could suffer from over-supply and a lack of demand during the lucrative fourth quarter.

Carolina Milanesi, principal analyst for mobile terminals research at Gartner UK, said 3G handsets face a lack of demand this Christmas, partly due to an unclear marketing message.

"Gartner predicts a build up in handset inventory — which will affect 3G mobile phones in particular — as mobile operators, especially in Western Europe, will fail to convince consumers that Christmas this year will be a 3G Christmas," Milanesi said.

This, Milanesi claimed, is because users aren't impressed with the functionality offered by a 3G phone.

"We're still missing a reason for 3G, do users really care? They don't notice if it takes 30 seconds to download a song or not," Milanesi argued.

The mobile phone industry has experienced a few false starts with 3G. But 3, the first operator to launch 3G services in the UK, hit out at Gartner's claims.

A spokesman for 3 said the analyst had clearly misinterpreted the success of 3, both globally and locally, and was patronising 3G customers' knowledge of the technology.

"There has been a clear lack of understanding of where we are in the market. Our customers clearly understand Web access, video messaging, TV and games," the 3 spokesman said.

The 3 spokesman added that he disagreed with Gartner's claim that people didn't have a reason to move to 3G. "We have 10 million customers globally and at least 3.2 million in the UK, which I think is a clear demonstration of 3G's success in the market," he stated.

Full article published here --> http://news.zdnet.co.uk/communications/3ggprs/0,39020339,39237447,00.htm

Ben
24th November 2005, 11:04 PM
I think the rush to get some sort of TV offering is a clear bid to make 3G 'wantable' this Christmas but, at this current moment in time, I agree with Gartners assertions that there just aren't enough reasons to make 3G desirable right now.

It has been clear so far that 3G adoption will be lead by handsets more than anything and I think GSM favourites like the pink V3 will steal the show this year. That's not to say that 3G networks wont make hefty gains, just that GSM will still, once again, make up the vast majority of xmas business.

joffa81
25th November 2005, 02:27 PM
i think that the phone manufacturers are just as much to blame because there is not meany stylish handsets for the 3g sector to choose from and while manufacturers are still producing stylish gsm handsets and ignoring 3g then people are not going to change

gorilla
25th November 2005, 03:43 PM
Can we have a maybe so that I can sit on the fence?
I agree to a point, in that 3g is still quite young and I assume PAYG phones to sell better at Christmas than contract phones. (I may well be speaking out of my arse here!)
I think, well I certainly hope that 2006 will be the year that makes 3g. Most of my friends are slowly converting to 3g either now that their contract is up or are planning to once their existing contract expires.
So Christmas 2006 will be a bumper one for 3g.

Hands0n
25th November 2005, 06:18 PM
Can we have a maybe so that I can sit on the fence?


Ask and ye shall receive :) Although, fence sitting will only get you splinters in your botty.